Error propagation

Predicted traverse closure error against the observed misclosure

What misclosure should a five-course traverse produce, given the instrument that ran it? Propagate the per-course errors, predict the closure, and compare it with what the field actually returned.

Analyze· about 30 minutes by hand· 5 steps

Given

  • A five-course closed boundary traverse, observed with a total station:
  • A-B azimuth 26°59′20″, 423.12 ft
  • B-C azimuth 124°10′45″, 519.74 ft
  • C-D azimuth 199°03′50″, 431.68 ft
  • D-E azimuth 248°22′05″, 379.80 ft
  • E-A azimuth 344°32′50″, 480.37 ft
  • Each distance carries a standard error of σ_D = ±0.020 ft, and each course azimuth a standard error of σ_α = ±10″, treated as independent between courses.
  • The traverse as observed returned ΣLat = +0.0488 ft and ΣDep = −0.0467 ft.
  • Distances in US survey feet, perimeter 2234.71 ft.

Required

  • The predicted standard error of the latitude and departure of each course.
  • The predicted linear misclosure of the traverse and the precision it implies.
  • A judgement on whether the observed misclosure is consistent with that prediction, or points to a blunder.

Work it through yourself before reading on - the solution below shows every step, so there is no way to skim it without giving the answer away.

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